TBL 4 – 5 UTA
Oct 24, 2026 · 09:00 PM ET
🥅 TBL: D. Hildeby (1991) | UTA: K. Vejmelka (1965)
💤 TBL 0d B2B / UTA 1d
🏪 N/A
🎯 Intermission betting
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Fair line = the Polymarket mid adjusted for 5-on-5 shot pressure relative to team style (about 0.3 points of win probability
per net attempt at even odds). The market already prices the score; shot pressure is what it misses.
Tested at intermissions 2022-26, so orders go in only during the 1st and 2nd intermissions: a maker buy
at the best bid, cancelled at puck drop, held to settlement.
Best book prices
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📈 Win Probability
Historical home win probability based on score at each moment. Updates live during games.
P1 20:00P2 20:00P3 20:00Final
📊 Team Stats (Score-State Adjusted)
Showing: UTA as Home + Leading +1 | TBL as Away + Trailing -1 | 5v5 | Full Season
| Team | ELO | Record | Pts% | xGF/60 | xGA/60 | xG Net/60 | xG Tot/60 | Sit TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
TBL
— Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2032 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 0.000th %ile |
4.808th %ile |
-4.80 | 4.80 | 7:42 |
| League (Trailing -1 as Away, Away B2B) (n≈1g) | — | — | — | avg 3.14 ↑ 10.95 · ↓ 0.00 | avg 1.94 ↑ 0.00 · ↓ 6.64 | avg +1.20 ↑ +10.95 · ↓ -6.64 | avg 5.08 ↑ 10.95 · ↓ 2.01 | — |
|
UTA
— Utah Hockey Club
|
2029 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 0.000th %ile |
9.055th %ile |
-9.05 | 9.05 | 5:24 |
| League (Leading +1 as Home, Away B2B) (n≈1g) | — | — | — | avg 3.93 ↑ 23.17 · ↓ 0.00 | avg 2.82 ↑ 0.00 · ↓ 24.77 | avg +1.10 ↑ +23.17 · ↓ -24.77 | avg 6.75 ↑ 24.77 · ↓ 2.45 | — |
Physical Profile (Last 5 GP, TOI-weighted)
🏒 3v3 Overtime Usage — EDGE Speed Comparison
2026–27 3v3 ice time for this game's official roster, with the latest available EDGE measurements through 2026–27 (measurement season shown per player). Speed percentile = faster than X% of NHL skaters. Bursts = times exceeding 20 mph.
⚡ TBL has the faster OT unit by 7 percentile points
Tampa Bay Lightning
Avg Speed:
58%
Avg Bursts: 51%
| # | Player | 3v3 TOI | OT GP | Top Speed | Speed %ile | Bursts 20+ | Burst %ile | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D John Carlson EDGE 20262027 | 1:40 | 2 | 20.1 | 21% |
1 | 16% |
2030 |
| 2 | D J.J. Moser EDGE 20262027 | 1:37 | 2 | 20.4 | 32% |
2 | 37% |
2046 |
| 3 | C Brayden Point EDGE 20262027 | 1:30 | 2 | 23.4 | 98% |
26 | 96% |
2024 |
| 4 | C Jake Guentzel EDGE 20262027 | 1:25 | 2 | 21.6 | 51% |
9 | 58% |
2054 |
| 5 | L Brandon Hagel EDGE 20262027 | 1:23 | 2 | 22.0 | 69% |
14 | 77% |
2081 |
| 6 | R Nikita Kucherov EDGE 20262027 | 1:14 | 2 | 23.0 | 96% |
13 | 75% |
2055 |
| 7 | R Pontus Holmberg EDGE 20262027 | 1:06 | 2 | 21.0 | 27% |
6 | 36% |
2027 |
| 8 | C Anthony Cirelli EDGE 20262027 | 1:04 | 2 | 21.7 | 57% |
8 | 48% |
2074 |
| 9 | D Charle-Edouard D'Astous EDGE 20262027 | 0:22 | 1 | 21.4 | 74% |
1 | 16% |
2045 |
Utah Hockey Club
Avg Speed:
51%
Avg Bursts: 63%
| # | Player | 3v3 TOI | OT GP | Top Speed | Speed %ile | Bursts 20+ | Burst %ile | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D Mikhail Sergachev EDGE 20262027 | 0:48 | 1 | 20.4 | 31% |
4 | 63% |
2031 |
| 2 | R Clayton Keller EDGE 20262027 | 0:43 | 1 | 21.5 | 47% |
9 | 58% |
2038 |
| 3 | R Dylan Guenther EDGE 20262027 | 0:42 | 1 | 21.9 | 64% |
7 | 44% |
2026 |
| 4 | R Kailer Yamamoto EDGE 20262027 | 0:34 | 1 | 20.5 | 10% |
4 | 22% |
2061 |
| 5 | C Barrett Hayton EDGE 20262027 | 0:34 | 1 | 21.9 | 66% |
19 | 90% |
2096 |
| 6 | D Dmitri Simashev EDGE 20262027 | 0:34 | 1 | 21.1 | 63% |
7 | 84% |
1996 |
| 7 | C Logan Cooley EDGE 20262027 | 0:28 | 1 | 22.6 | 89% |
21 | 92% |
2035 |
| 8 | C Vincent Trocheck EDGE 20262027 | 0:27 | 1 | 21.8 | 62% |
16 | 82% |
1996 |
| 9 | D Nate Schmidt EDGE 20262027 | 0:22 | 1 | 20.3 | 27% |
2 | 37% |
2059 |