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MTL MTL 2 – 1 WPG WPG
Oct 25, 2026 · 07:00 PM ET
🥅 MTL: J. Fowler (2033) | WPG: S. Skinner (1992) 💤 MTL 1d / WPG 2d 🏪 N/A

🎯 Intermission betting

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Fair line = the Polymarket mid adjusted for 5-on-5 shot pressure relative to team style (about 0.3 points of win probability per net attempt at even odds). The market already prices the score; shot pressure is what it misses. Tested at intermissions 2022-26, so orders go in only during the 1st and 2nd intermissions: a maker buy at the best bid, cancelled at puck drop, held to settlement.
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📈 Win Probability

Historical home win probability based on score at each moment. Updates live during games.

P1 20:00P2 20:00P3 20:00Final

📊 Team Stats (Score-State Adjusted)

Showing: WPG as Home + Trailing -1  |  MTL as Away + Leading +1  |  5v5  |  Full Season

Team ELO Record Pts% xGF/60 xGA/60 xG Net/60 xG Tot/60 Sit TOI
MTL MTL — Montreal Canadiens 1999 4-1-1 75.0%
2.0141th %ile
1.6584th %ile
+0.36 3.66 50:36
League (Leading +1 as Away) (n≈5g)———avg 2.27
↑ 5.71 · ↓ 0.58
avg 2.73
↑ 0.34 · ↓ 5.70
avg -0.46
↑ +3.71 · ↓ -4.43
avg 5.01
↑ 8.75 · ↓ 3.08
—
WPG WPG — Winnipeg Jets 1987 2-4-1 35.7%
1.5525th %ile
3.3428th %ile
-1.79 4.89 47:30
League (Trailing -1 as Home) (n≈5g)———avg 2.26
↑ 5.12 · ↓ 0.12
avg 2.42
↑ 0.05 · ↓ 4.52
avg -0.16
↑ +5.07 · ↓ -3.71
avg 4.68
↑ 6.75 · ↓ 2.59
—

Physical Profile (Last 5 GP, TOI-weighted)

Metric MTL WPG Edge
Fwd Speed 21.7 mph 21.4 mph
Fwd Weight 204 lbs 200 lbs
Fwd Height 6'1 6'2
D Speed 20.9 mph 20.1 mph
D Weight 190 lbs 199 lbs
D Height 6'1 6'1
MTL skaters: F 14 · D 8 WPG skaters: F 13 · D 8

🏒 3v3 Overtime Usage — EDGE Speed Comparison

2026–27 3v3 ice time for this game's official roster, with the latest available EDGE measurements through 2026–27 (measurement season shown per player). Speed percentile = faster than X% of NHL skaters. Bursts = times exceeding 20 mph.

⚡ MTL has the faster OT unit by 8 percentile points
MTL
Montreal Canadiens
Avg Speed:
57%
  Avg Bursts:
71%
# Player 3v3 TOI OT GP Top Speed Speed %ile Bursts 20+ Burst %ile ELO
1 D Lane Hutson EDGE 20262027 8:25 5 21.4
79%
12
96%
2044
2 R Cole Caufield EDGE 20262027 6:59 5 20.9
22%
8
48%
2026
3 L Juraj Slafkovský EDGE 20262027 3:59 3 23.1
97%
25
94%
1998
4 D Mike Matheson EDGE 20262027 3:35 2 21.5
83%
9
90%
1999
5 L Alexandre Texier EDGE 20262027 2:24 2 21.4
42%
9
58%
2014
6 R Zachary Bolduc EDGE 20262027 1:37 2 22.4
82%
15
81%
2041
7 C Alex Newhook EDGE 20262027 1:24 4 21.9
65%
14
77%
1977
8 D Noah Dobson EDGE 20262027 0:55 1 20.8
53%
6
78%
2014
9 D Kaiden Guhle EDGE 20262027 0:52 1 20.3
25%
2
37%
1976
10 C Phillip Danault EDGE 20262027 0:51 5 20.8
18%
8
48%
2020
WPG
Winnipeg Jets
Avg Speed:
49%
  Avg Bursts:
40%
# Player 3v3 TOI OT GP Top Speed Speed %ile Bursts 20+ Burst %ile ELO
1 D Neal Pionk EDGE 20262027 4:00 3 20.7
43%
1
16%
1972
2 C Adam Lowry EDGE 20262027 3:17 3 21.5
50%
6
36%
1984
3 C Mark Scheifele EDGE 20262027 3:03 3 21.0
24%
9
58%
1991
4 L Kyle Connor EDGE 20262027 2:44 3 22.2
79%
16
82%
1986
5 D Dylan Samberg EDGE 20262027 2:14 3 20.1
18%
1
16%
2006
6 C Gabriel Vilardi EDGE 20262027 1:56 2 19.9
3%
N/A
0%
1999
7 C Viggo Björck EDGE 20262027 1:50 3 21.3
39%
8
48%
2004
8 R Isak Rosen EDGE 20252026 1:22 1 22.7
74%
48
43%
1957
9 C Morgan Barron EDGE 20262027 1:07 2 22.8
93%
15
81%
1998
10 C Cole Perfetti EDGE 20262027 0:54 1 21.9
64%
3
16%
2022