TOR 2 – 3 SEA
Oct 28, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET
🥅 TOR: S. Bobrovsky (1975) | SEA: P. Grubauer (1989)
💤 TOR 1d / SEA 3d
🏪 TOR 36% / SEA 64%
🎯 Intermission betting
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Fair line = the Polymarket mid adjusted for 5-on-5 shot pressure relative to team style (about 0.3 points of win probability
per net attempt at even odds). The market already prices the score; shot pressure is what it misses.
Tested at intermissions 2022-26, so orders go in only during the 1st and 2nd intermissions: a maker buy
at the best bid, cancelled at puck drop, held to settlement.
Best book prices
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📈 Win Probability
Historical home win probability based on score at each moment. Updates live during games.
P1 20:00P2 20:00P3 20:00Final
📊 Team Stats (Score-State Adjusted)
Showing: SEA as Home + Leading +1 | TOR as Away + Trailing -1 | 5v5 | Full Season
| Team | ELO | Record | Pts% | xGF/60 | xGA/60 | xG Net/60 | xG Tot/60 | Sit TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
TOR
— Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1989 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 1.7125th %ile |
2.8131th %ile |
-1.10 | 4.52 | 44:06 |
| League (Trailing -1 as Away) (n≈5g) | — | — | — | avg 2.42 ↑ 4.51 · ↓ 0.71 | avg 2.23 ↑ 0.21 · ↓ 4.17 | avg +0.19 ↑ +3.65 · ↓ -3.17 | avg 4.65 ↑ 6.48 · ↓ 3.07 | — |
|
SEA
— Seattle Kraken
|
1971 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 2.4047th %ile |
1.9262th %ile |
+0.48 | 4.32 | 22:24 |
| League (Leading +1 as Home) (n≈5g) | — | — | — | avg 2.69 ↑ 6.32 · ↓ 0.28 | avg 2.30 ↑ 0.11 · ↓ 4.53 | avg +0.39 ↑ +6.21 · ↓ -3.81 | avg 4.99 ↑ 7.38 · ↓ 3.62 | — |
Physical Profile (Last 5 GP, TOI-weighted)
🏒 3v3 Overtime Usage — EDGE Speed Comparison
2026–27 3v3 ice time for this game's official roster, with the latest available EDGE measurements through 2026–27 (measurement season shown per player). Speed percentile = faster than X% of NHL skaters. Bursts = times exceeding 20 mph.
⚡ SEA has the faster OT unit by 4 percentile points
Toronto Maple Leafs
Avg Speed:
66%
Avg Bursts: 49%
| # | Player | 3v3 TOI | OT GP | Top Speed | Speed %ile | Bursts 20+ | Burst %ile | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C Auston Matthews EDGE 20262027 | 7:34 | 3 | 21.5 | 46% |
9 | 58% |
2013 |
| 2 | D Darren Raddysh EDGE 20262027 | 7:23 | 3 | 21.2 | 68% |
3 | 51% |
2018 |
| 3 | R William Nylander EDGE 20262027 | 5:33 | 3 | 22.0 | 70% |
8 | 48% |
1969 |
| 4 | D Morgan Rielly EDGE 20262027 | 3:32 | 3 | 21.4 | 75% |
1 | 16% |
1996 |
| 5 | R Easton Cowan EDGE 20262027 | 2:58 | 3 | 22.3 | 82% |
19 | 90% |
2008 |
| 6 | C Jack Roslovic EDGE 20262027 | 2:47 | 3 | 22.5 | 86% |
25 | 94% |
2007 |
| 7 | D Oliver Ekman-Larsson EDGE 20262027 | 1:17 | 2 | 20.6 | 39% |
1 | 16% |
1990 |
| 8 | C Colton Sissons EDGE 20262027 | 0:58 | 1 | 21.8 | 62% |
3 | 16% |
1971 |
Seattle Kraken
Avg Speed:
70%
Avg Bursts: 84%
| # | Player | 3v3 TOI | OT GP | Top Speed | Speed %ile | Bursts 20+ | Burst %ile | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D Brandon Montour EDGE 20262027 | 4:37 | 2 | 21.7 | 87% |
17 | 99% |
1988 |
| 2 | C Matty Beniers EDGE 20262027 | 4:20 | 3 | 22.0 | 71% |
11 | 69% |
1977 |
| 3 | R Jordan Eberle EDGE 20262027 | 4:16 | 3 | 20.8 | 19% |
17 | 85% |
1975 |
| 4 | C Chandler Stephenson EDGE 20262027 | 2:54 | 3 | 22.6 | 86% |
17 | 85% |
1894 |
| 5 | D Vince Dunn EDGE 20262027 | 2:31 | 3 | 20.7 | 44% |
5 | 71% |
1956 |
| 6 | C Berkly Catton EDGE 20262027 | 2:28 | 2 | 22.7 | 92% |
30 | 97% |
1999 |
| 7 | D Ryker Evans EDGE 20262027 | 2:20 | 3 | 21.8 | 89% |
9 | 90% |
1975 |
| 8 | C Bobby McMann EDGE 20262027 | 1:58 | 2 | 22.7 | 91% |
26 | 96% |
1959 |
| 9 | C Shane Wright EDGE 20262027 | 1:06 | 2 | 21.1 | 29% |
10 | 64% |
2000 |
| 10 | R Mackie Samoskevich EDGE 20262027 | 0:35 | 1 | 22.6 | 88% |
17 | 85% |
2012 |