Log loss comes first. Each model is compared with the market probability recorded in the same snapshot. Lower is better.
All tracked dates are included. 28 early intermissions logged only the active model, so raw and team-style coverage can differ. Unrecorded forecasts are not recreated.
323 identical intermissions ยท 165 games. Both models use the same clock, shot attempts, market quotes and edge threshold. Predictions include every eligible intermission; bet counts can differ when only one model finds enough edge.
| Paired version | Matched intermissions | Raw loss | Team-style loss | Market loss | Style โ raw loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| paired-v1-13d579338d2d | 179 games | 0.3925 | 0.4010 | 0.3685 | +0.0085CI needs 10 settled games |
| paired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 231118 games | 0.4852 | 0.4852 | 0.4888 | +0.000195%: -0.0035 to +0.0040 |
| paired-v1-c03f193b0137 | 7539 games | 0.4979 | 0.4992 | 0.5069 | +0.001395%: -0.0043 to +0.0074 |
Recorded base and adjusted forecasts use the same decision snapshot. Eligible carry includes minor-driven 5v4 segments. Uncertain strength uses the base forecast. These are forecast comparisons; orders use the configured active model.
| Model version | Matched | Base loss | Adjusted loss | Adjusted โ base | PP adjustments / fallbacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| minor-pp-v1-4adb3d574c16 | 231118 games | 0.4852 | 0.4853 | +0.000195%: -0.0018 to +0.0022 | 65 / 5 |
| Model | Predictions | Bets | Settled | Pending / gaps | Matched | Model loss | Market loss | ฮ loss | Brier model / market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO ยท FullAll recorded results | 385196 games | โ | 380 | 3 / 2 | 380 | 0.4901 | 0.4858 | +0.004395%: -0.0146 to +0.0222 | 0.16270.1619 market |
| ELO ยท PredictiveAll recorded results | 385196 games | โ | 380 | 3 / 2 | 380 | 0.4957 | 0.4858 | +0.010095%: -0.0137 to +0.0328 | 0.16460.1619 market |
| ELO ยท RawAll recorded results | 385196 games | โ | 380 | 3 / 2 | 380 | 0.4994 | 0.4858 | +0.013795%: -0.0102 to +0.0353 | 0.16820.1619 market |
| Intermission ยท raw pressureAll recorded results | 334172 games | 159 | 334 | 0 / 0 | 334 | 0.4828 | 0.4870 | -0.004295%: -0.0099 to +0.0023 | 0.16200.1640 market |
| Intermission ยท team styleAll recorded results | 340175 games | 164 | 340 | 0 / 0 | 340 | 0.4748 | 0.4774 | -0.002695%: -0.0085 to +0.0035 | 0.15910.1602 market |
| Intermission ยท team style + minor PPAll recorded results | 231118 games | 103 | 231 | 0 / 0 | 231 | 0.4853 | 0.4888 | -0.003495%: -0.0109 to +0.0044 | 0.16200.1637 market |
| Model | Predictions | Bets | Settled | Pending / gaps | Matched | Model loss | Market loss | ฮ loss | Brier model / market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOHistorical version unknown | 385196 games | โ | 380 | 3 / 2 | 380 | 0.4901 | 0.4858 | +0.004395%: -0.0146 to +0.0222 | 0.16270.1619 market |
| ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOHistorical version unknown | 385196 games | โ | 380 | 3 / 2 | 380 | 0.4957 | 0.4858 | +0.010095%: -0.0137 to +0.0328 | 0.16460.1619 market |
| ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOHistorical version unknown | 385196 games | โ | 380 | 3 / 2 | 380 | 0.4994 | 0.4858 | +0.013795%: -0.0102 to +0.0353 | 0.16820.1619 market |
| Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-13d579338d2d | 179 games | 10 | 17 | 0 / 0 | 17 | 0.3925 | 0.3685 | +0.0240CI needs 10 settled games | 0.13270.1218 market |
| Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 231118 games | 94 | 231 | 0 / 0 | 231 | 0.4852 | 0.4888 | -0.003695%: -0.0110 to +0.0036 | 0.16190.1637 market |
| Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-c03f193b0137 | 7539 games | 46 | 75 | 0 / 0 | 75 | 0.4979 | 0.5069 | -0.009095%: -0.0230 to +0.0050 | 0.17010.1739 market |
| Intermission ยท raw pressureHistorical ยท active version onlyHistorical version unknown | 117 games | 9 | 11 | 0 / 0 | 11 | 0.4708 | 0.4983 | -0.0275CI needs 10 settled games | 0.15350.1671 market |
| Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-13d579338d2d | 179 games | 10 | 17 | 0 / 0 | 17 | 0.4010 | 0.3685 | +0.0325CI needs 10 settled games | 0.13660.1218 market |
| Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 231118 games | 103 | 231 | 0 / 0 | 231 | 0.4852 | 0.4888 | -0.003595%: -0.0111 to +0.0042 | 0.16210.1637 market |
| Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-c03f193b0137 | 7539 games | 45 | 75 | 0 / 0 | 75 | 0.4992 | 0.5069 | -0.007795%: -0.0205 to +0.0057 | 0.17080.1739 market |
| Intermission ยท team styleHistorical ยท active version onlyHistorical version unknown | 1710 games | 6 | 17 | 0 / 0 | 17 | 0.2995 | 0.3013 | -0.001895%: -0.0234 to +0.0113 | 0.08990.0912 market |
| Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 231118 games | 103 | 231 | 0 / 0 | 231 | 0.4853 | 0.4888 | -0.003495%: -0.0109 to +0.0044 | 0.16200.1637 market |
Same intermissions across all three books ยท 225 eligible breaks. Each model keeps the selected forecastโs signal and chosen team; every route must clear the logged edge cutoff at its own fee-inclusive price.
285 captured decisions ยท 225 matched across all three ยท books observed: Intl 284, US 237, Novig 284. Quote collection began Oct 4, 5:34 PM ET.
| Book / strategy | Breaks | Bets / settled | WโL | Avg cost incl. fees | Model log loss | Cost log loss | ฮ loss | Flat P&L / ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best of three ยท MakeRoutes: Intl 81 ยท US 16 ยท Novig 10 | 225 | 107 / 107 | 65โ42 | 54.08ยข+0.00ยข fee | 0.6050 | 0.6129 | -0.0079 | +16.35u+15.3% ROI ยท 107u staked |
| Best of three ยท TakeRoutes: Novig 31 ยท Intl 19 ยท US 2 | 225 | 52 / 5255 below cutoff | 32โ20 | 58.13ยข+1.07ยข fee | 0.5405 | 0.5505 | -0.0099 | +2.15u+4.1% ROI ยท 52u staked |
| Polymarket Intl ยท Make | 225 | 107 / 107 | 65โ42 | 54.30ยข+0.00ยข fee | 0.6050 | 0.6128 | -0.0078 | +15.86u+14.8% ROI ยท 107u staked |
| Polymarket Intl ยท Take | 225 | 38 / 3866 below cutoff3 quote / fee / depth gaps | 25โ13 | 57.90ยข+1.03ยข fee | 0.5853 | 0.5987 | -0.0134 | +6.77u+17.8% ROI ยท 38u staked |
| Polymarket US ยท Make | 225 | 104 / 1043 below cutoff | 64โ40 | 54.76ยข+0.00ยข fee | 0.6065 | 0.6156 | -0.0091 | +16.84u+16.2% ROI ยท 104u staked |
| Polymarket US ยท Take | 225 | 29 / 2978 below cutoff | 21โ8 | 57.19ยข+1.39ยข fee | 0.5143 | 0.5304 | -0.0162 | +8.93u+30.8% ROI ยท 29u staked |
| Novig ยท Make | 225 | 102 / 1025 below cutoff | 61โ41 | 54.59ยข+0.00ยข fee | 0.6072 | 0.6148 | -0.0075 | +12.80u+12.6% ROI ยท 102u staked |
| Novig ยท Take | 225 | 48 / 4853 below cutoff6 quote / fee / depth gaps | 31โ17 | 58.87ยข+1.09ยข fee | 0.5295 | 0.5418 | -0.0123 | +4.32u+9.0% ROI ยท 48u staked |
| Book / strategy | Breaks | Bets / settled | WโL | Avg cost incl. fees | Model log loss | Cost log loss | ฮ loss | Flat P&L / ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best of three ยท MakeRoutes: US 18 ยท Intl 83 ยท Novig 10 | 225 | 111 / 111 | 68โ43 | 56.26ยข+0.00ยข fee | 0.6023 | 0.6089 | -0.0066 | +13.16u+11.9% ROI ยท 111u staked |
| Best of three ยท TakeRoutes: Novig 32 ยท Intl 18 ยท US 3 | 225 | 53 / 5358 below cutoff | 35โ18 | 58.74ยข+1.10ยข fee | 0.5423 | 0.5516 | -0.0093 | +6.51u+12.3% ROI ยท 53u staked |
| Polymarket Intl ยท Make | 225 | 111 / 111 | 68โ43 | 56.50ยข+0.00ยข fee | 0.6023 | 0.6091 | -0.0068 | +12.68u+11.4% ROI ยท 111u staked |
| Polymarket Intl ยท Take | 225 | 42 / 4267 below cutoff2 quote / fee / depth gaps | 28โ14 | 60.26ยข+1.05ยข fee | 0.5430 | 0.5521 | -0.0091 | +3.80u+9.0% ROI ยท 42u staked |
| Polymarket US ยท Make | 225 | 109 / 1092 below cutoff | 68โ41 | 57.09ยข+0.00ยข fee | 0.6082 | 0.6160 | -0.0078 | +14.81u+13.6% ROI ยท 109u staked |
| Polymarket US ยท Take | 225 | 32 / 3277 below cutoff2 quote / fee / depth gaps | 22โ10 | 60.46ยข+1.43ยข fee | 0.4736 | 0.4837 | -0.0100 | +2.32u+7.3% ROI ยท 32u staked |
| Novig ยท Make | 225 | 108 / 1083 below cutoff | 67โ41 | 56.64ยข+0.00ยข fee | 0.5954 | 0.6026 | -0.0072 | +13.16u+12.2% ROI ยท 108u staked |
| Novig ยท Take | 225 | 47 / 4756 below cutoff8 quote / fee / depth gaps | 32โ15 | 60.44ยข+1.13ยข fee | 0.5237 | 0.5344 | -0.0107 | +5.67u+12.1% ROI ยท 47u staked |
Best make chooses the lowest eligible bid; best take chooses the lowest ask plus fee with sufficient depth. Quotes must be observed before the decision, during the same break, and within 45 seconds. The matched sample requires current bid/ask quotes and known fees on all three books; thin taker books can still produce different bet counts. Ties use Intl, then US, then Novig. Selection never uses the game result.
Fees and taker depth are evaluated for a $100 winning payout. Flat P&L normalizes to 1u total spend per bet, including fees, with full fills assumed; settled bets only. Maker fees are zero. Losses score each strategyโs qualifying settled bets; ฮ = model loss โ fee-inclusive cost loss. No slippage or maker fill verification.
| Decision | Model / strategy | Team / venue | Cost / fee | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 ยท P2Game 2026020186 | Raw ยท Make | CGY ยท Intl | 87.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +3.14pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-26 ยท P2Game 2026020186 | Raw ยท Take | CGY ยท Intl | 88.53ยข+0.53ยข fee | +1.61pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-26 ยท P2Game 2026020186 | Style ยท Make | CGY ยท Intl | 87.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +3.33pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-26 ยท P2Game 2026020186 | Style ยท Take | CGY ยท Intl | 88.53ยข+0.53ยข fee | +1.80pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-26 ยท P1Game 2026020186 | Raw ยท Make | CGY ยท Intl | 77.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.66pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-26 ยท P1Game 2026020186 | Style ยท Make | CGY ยท Intl | 77.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.81pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-26 ยท P1Game 2026020185 | Raw ยท Make | LAK ยท Intl | 79.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +1.95pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-26 ยท P1Game 2026020185 | Style ยท Make | LAK ยท Intl | 79.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.14pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-25 ยท P1Game 2026020184 | Raw ยท Make | VAN ยท Intl | 21.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.13pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-25 ยท P1Game 2026020184 | Style ยท Make | VAN ยท Intl | 21.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.77pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-25 ยท P1Game 2026020183 | Style ยท Make | NSH ยท US | 66.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +3.41pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-25 ยท P1Game 2026020183 | Style ยท Take | NSH ยท Novig | 68.33ยข+1.33ยข fee | +1.08pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-25 ยท P1Game 2026020182 | Raw ยท Make | MTL ยท US | 53.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +3.18pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-25 ยท P1Game 2026020182 | Style ยท Make | MTL ยท US | 53.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +3.28pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-25 ยท P2Game 2026020181 | Raw ยท Make | DAL ยท Intl | 57.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.77pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-25 ยท P2Game 2026020181 | Style ยท Make | DAL ยท Intl | 57.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +3.80pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-25 ยท P2Game 2026020181 | Style ยท Take | DAL ยท Intl | 59.22ยข+1.22ยข fee | +1.58pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P2Game 2026020177 | Style ยท Make | TBL ยท Intl | 44.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.15pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P1Game 2026020178 | Raw ยท Make | DET ยท Novig | 35.50ยข+0.00ยข fee | +3.33pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P1Game 2026020178 | Raw ยท Take | DET ยท Novig | 37.38ยข+1.38ยข fee | +1.45pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P1Game 2026020178 | Style ยท Make | DET ยท Novig | 35.50ยข+0.00ยข fee | +3.39pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P1Game 2026020179 | Style ยท Make | SEA ยท US | 37.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +3.66pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P1Game 2026020178 | Style ยท Take | DET ยท Novig | 37.38ยข+1.38ยข fee | +1.51pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P1Game 2026020177 | Style ยท Make | TBL ยท Intl | 60.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +1.56pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P1Game 2026020170 | Raw ยท Make | BOS ยท Intl | 62.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.94pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P1Game 2026020170 | Raw ยท Take | BOS ยท Novig | 63.91ยข+1.41ยข fee | +1.03pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P1Game 2026020170 | Style ยท Make | BOS ยท Intl | 62.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +3.02pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P1Game 2026020170 | Style ยท Take | BOS ยท Novig | 63.91ยข+1.41ยข fee | +1.11pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P1Game 2026020174 | Raw ยท Make | CBJ ยท Intl | 46.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +1.97pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P1Game 2026020174 | Style ยท Make | CBJ ยท Intl | 46.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.63pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P2Game 2026020169 | Raw ยท Make | NJD ยท Intl | 57.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +3.88pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P2Game 2026020169 | Raw ยท Take | NJD ยท Intl | 59.22ยข+1.22ยข fee | +1.66pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P2Game 2026020169 | Style ยท Make | NJD ยท Intl | 57.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +4.05pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P2Game 2026020169 | Style ยท Take | NJD ยท Intl | 59.22ยข+1.22ยข fee | +1.83pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-24 ยท P2Game 2026020168 | Style ยท Make | PHI ยท Intl | 47.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.70pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-23 ยท P1Game 2026020166 | Raw ยท Make | MTL ยท Intl | 56.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +1.60pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P2Game 2026020164 | Raw ยท Make | UTA ยท Intl | 17.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +3.88pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P2Game 2026020164 | Raw ยท Take | UTA ยท Intl | 18.74ยข+0.74ยข fee | +2.14pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P2Game 2026020164 | Style ยท Make | UTA ยท Intl | 17.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +1.92pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P1Game 2026020164 | Raw ยท Make | UTA ยท Intl | 45.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +1.90pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P1Game 2026020165 | Raw ยท Make | DET ยท Intl | 86.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.27pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P1Game 2026020165 | Raw ยท Take | DET ยท Novig | 87.20ยข+0.70ยข fee | +1.07pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P1Game 2026020165 | Style ยท Make | DET ยท Intl | 86.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.40pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P1Game 2026020165 | Style ยท Take | DET ยท Novig | 87.20ยข+0.70ยข fee | +1.20pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P1Game 2026020162 | Raw ยท Make | MIN ยท Intl | 31.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +3.02pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P1Game 2026020162 | Style ยท Make | MIN ยท Intl | 31.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.94pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P2Game 2026020160 | Raw ยท Make | VGK ยท Intl | 10.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +1.74pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P2Game 2026020161 | Raw ยท Make | DAL ยท Intl | 34.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.11pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P2Game 2026020161 | Style ยท Make | DAL ยท Intl | 34.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.30pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P2Game 2026020159 | Raw ยท Make | NYI ยท Intl | 25.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +6.64pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P2Game 2026020159 | Raw ยท Take | NYI ยท Intl | 26.96ยข+0.96ยข fee | +4.68pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P2Game 2026020159 | Style ยท Make | NYI ยท Intl | 25.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +7.25pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P2Game 2026020159 | Style ยท Take | NYI ยท Intl | 26.96ยข+0.96ยข fee | +5.29pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P1Game 2026020156 | Raw ยท Make | SJS ยท Intl | 44.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +1.90pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P1Game 2026020156 | Style ยท Make | SJS ยท Intl | 44.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.72pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-22 ยท P1Game 2026020158 | Style ยท Make | PIT ยท Intl | 66.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +1.81pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P1Game 2026020151 | Raw ยท Make | TBL ยท Intl | 49.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.49pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P1Game 2026020151 | Style ยท Make | TBL ยท Intl | 49.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.71pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P1Game 2026020150 | Raw ยท Make | CAR ยท US | 69.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.90pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P1Game 2026020149 | Style ยท Make | SEA ยท Intl | 65.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +1.91pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P1Game 2026020148 | Raw ยท Make | EDM ยท Intl | 53.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.54pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P1Game 2026020148 | Style ยท Make | EDM ยท Intl | 53.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +1.99pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P2Game 2026020147 | Raw ยท Make | DAL ยท Intl | 30.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +4.32pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P2Game 2026020147 | Raw ยท Take | DAL ยท Intl | 32.07ยข+1.07ยข fee | +2.25pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P2Game 2026020147 | Style ยท Make | DAL ยท Intl | 30.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +4.01pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P2Game 2026020147 | Style ยท Take | DAL ยท Intl | 32.07ยข+1.07ยข fee | +1.94pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P2Game 2026020146 | Raw ยท Make | WPG ยท Intl | 24.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +1.56pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P2Game 2026020141 | Raw ยท Make | MTL ยท Intl | 93.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +1.60pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P2Game 2026020141 | Style ยท Make | MTL ยท Intl | 93.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +1.70pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P2Game 2026020142 | Raw ยท Make | NJD ยท Intl | 74.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.86pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P2Game 2026020142 | Raw ยท Take | NJD ยท Novig | 75.64ยข+1.14ยข fee | +1.22pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P2Game 2026020142 | Style ยท Make | NJD ยท Intl | 74.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +5.02pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P2Game 2026020142 | Style ยท Take | NJD ยท Novig | 75.64ยข+1.14ยข fee | +3.38pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P2Game 2026020143 | Style ยท Make | NYI ยท Intl | 92.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +1.52pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P1Game 2026020141 | Raw ยท Make | MTL ยท Intl | 63.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +3.42pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P1Game 2026020141 | Raw ยท Take | MTL ยท Intl | 65.15ยข+1.15ยข fee | +1.27pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P1Game 2026020141 | Style ยท Make | MTL ยท Intl | 63.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +3.49pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P1Game 2026020141 | Style ยท Take | MTL ยท Intl | 65.15ยข+1.15ยข fee | +1.34pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P1Game 2026020143 | Raw ยท Make | NYI ยท Intl | 84.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.38pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P1Game 2026020143 | Raw ยท Take | NYI ยท Novig | 85.29ยข+0.79ยข fee | +1.09pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P1Game 2026020143 | Style ยท Make | NYI ยท Intl | 84.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +3.03pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P1Game 2026020143 | Style ยท Take | NYI ยท Novig | 85.29ยข+0.79ยข fee | +1.74pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P1Game 2026020142 | Raw ยท Make | NJD ยท US | 52.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.68pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P1Game 2026020142 | Style ยท Make | NJD ยท US | 52.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +4.31pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-20 ยท P1Game 2026020142 | Style ยท Take | NJD ยท Novig | 54.49ยข+1.49ยข fee | +1.82pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-19 ยท P1Game 2026020140 | Raw ยท Make | UTA ยท Intl | 77.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.66pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-19 ยท P1Game 2026020140 | Raw ยท Take | UTA ยท Novig | 78.55ยข+1.05ยข fee | +1.11pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-19 ยท P1Game 2026020140 | Style ยท Make | UTA ยท Intl | 77.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.95pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-19 ยท P1Game 2026020140 | Style ยท Take | UTA ยท Novig | 78.55ยข+1.05ยข fee | +1.40pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-19 ยท P1Game 2026020137 | Style ยท Make | NYR ยท Novig | 71.50ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.57pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-18 ยท P2Game 2026020136 | Raw ยท Make | CAR ยท Intl | 59.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +4.57pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-18 ยท P2Game 2026020136 | Raw ยท Take | CAR ยท Intl | 61.20ยข+1.20ยข fee | +2.37pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-18 ยท P2Game 2026020136 | Style ยท Make | CAR ยท Intl | 59.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.28pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-18 ยท P1Game 2026020136 | Raw ยท Make | CAR ยท US | 62.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +4.11pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-18 ยท P1Game 2026020136 | Raw ยท Take | CAR ยท Novig | 64.40ยข+1.40ยข fee | +1.71pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-18 ยท P1Game 2026020136 | Style ยท Make | CAR ยท US | 62.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +2.72pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-18 ยท P2Game 2026020135 | Raw ยท Make | MIN ยท Intl | 81.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +3.90pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-18 ยท P2Game 2026020135 | Raw ยท Take | MIN ยท Novig | 82.40ยข+0.90ยข fee | +2.50pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-18 ยท P2Game 2026020135 | Style ยท Make | MIN ยท Intl | 81.00ยข+0.00ยข fee | +5.09pp | Settled |
| 2026-10-18 ยท P2Game 2026020135 | Style ยท Take | MIN ยท Novig | 82.40ยข+0.90ยข fee | +3.69pp | Settled |
Each logged recommendation must still clear its recorded edge cutoff at the bid (make) or ask plus taker fee (take). Losses score each strategyโs own qualifying bets, so counts and model loss can differ. Lower loss is better.
All recorded results ยท 2026-09-29 โ 2026-10-26
| Strategy | Bets | Quotes / candidates | Settled | Avg cost incl. fees | Model log loss | Cost log loss | ฮ loss model โ cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท MakeLimit buy ยท bid | 159 | 159 / 159 | 159116 games | 52.78ยข52.78ยข price +0.00ยข fee |
0.5856 | 0.5941 | -0.008495%: -0.0215 to +0.0049 |
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท TakeImmediate buy ยท ask | 56103 below cutoff | 159 / 159 | 5646 games | 56.35ยข55.31ยข price +1.04ยข fee |
0.5903 | 0.6048 | -0.014595%: -0.0302 to +0.0020 |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท MakeLimit buy ยท bid | 164 | 164 / 164 | 164119 games | 55.23ยข55.23ยข price +0.00ยข fee |
0.5774 | 0.5816 | -0.004295%: -0.0177 to +0.0100 |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท TakeImmediate buy ยท ask | 61103 below cutoff | 164 / 164 | 6151 games | 58.96ยข57.90ยข price +1.05ยข fee |
0.5830 | 0.5897 | -0.006795%: -0.0204 to +0.0087 |
| Intermission ยท team style + minor PP ยท MakeLimit buy ยท bid | 103 | 103 / 103 | 10379 games | 54.75ยข54.75ยข price +0.00ยข fee |
0.5946 | 0.6013 | -0.006895%: -0.0250 to +0.0120 |
| Intermission ยท team style + minor PP ยท TakeImmediate buy ยท ask | 4162 below cutoff | 103 / 103 | 4136 games | 58.40ยข57.34ยข price +1.06ยข fee |
0.5916 | 0.5983 | -0.006795%: -0.0259 to +0.0142 |
1u of total spend per qualifying bet, including fees. Settled bets only; all orders assumed fully filled. No compounding.
| Strategy | WโL | Staked (u) | P&L (u) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท Make | 94โ65 | 159u | +17.85u | +11.2% |
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท Take | 36โ20 | 56u | +9.18u | +16.4% |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท Make | 95โ69 | 164u | +6.22u | +3.8% |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท Take | 38โ23 | 61u | +2.75u | +4.5% |
| Intermission ยท team style + minor PP ยท Make | 62โ41 | 103u | +10.28u | +10.0% |
| Intermission ยท team style + minor PP ยท Take | 24โ17 | 41u | -1.46u | -3.6% |
Paired ยท same intermissions ยท 2026-10-08 โ 2026-10-08
paired-v1-13d579338d2d
| Strategy | Bets | Quotes / candidates | Settled | Avg cost incl. fees | Model log loss | Cost log loss | ฮ loss model โ cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท MakeLimit buy ยท bid | 10 | 10 / 10 | 106 games | 52.80ยข52.80ยข price +0.00ยข fee |
0.6121 | 0.5672 | +0.0449 |
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท TakeImmediate buy ยท ask | 19 below cutoff | 10 / 10 | 11 game | 56.24ยข55.00ยข price +1.24ยข fee |
0.9208 | 0.8264 | +0.0944 |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท MakeLimit buy ยท bid | 10 | 10 / 10 | 106 games | 52.80ยข52.80ยข price +0.00ยข fee |
0.6276 | 0.5672 | +0.0604 |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท TakeImmediate buy ยท ask | 55 below cutoff | 10 / 10 | 55 games | 43.55ยข42.40ยข price +1.15ยข fee |
0.6436 | 0.5935 | +0.0501 |
1u of total spend per qualifying bet, including fees. Settled bets only; all orders assumed fully filled. No compounding.
| Strategy | WโL | Staked (u) | P&L (u) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท Make | 2โ8 | 10u | -7.56u | -75.6% |
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท Take | 0โ1 | 1u | -1.00u | -100.0% |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท Make | 2โ8 | 10u | -7.56u | -75.6% |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท Take | 0โ5 | 5u | -5.00u | -100.0% |
Paired ยท same intermissions ยท 2026-10-08 โ 2026-10-26
paired-v1-63ee1cb10048
| Strategy | Bets | Quotes / candidates | Settled | Avg cost incl. fees | Model log loss | Cost log loss | ฮ loss model โ cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท MakeLimit buy ยท bid | 94 | 94 / 94 | 9470 games | 53.64ยข53.64ยข price +0.00ยข fee |
0.5790 | 0.5862 | -0.007295%: -0.0243 to +0.0090 |
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท TakeImmediate buy ยท ask | 3460 below cutoff | 94 / 94 | 3428 games | 54.33ยข53.27ยข price +1.05ยข fee |
0.6346 | 0.6445 | -0.009995%: -0.0300 to +0.0107 |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท MakeLimit buy ยท bid | 103 | 103 / 103 | 10377 games | 56.22ยข56.22ยข price +0.00ยข fee |
0.5723 | 0.5781 | -0.005895%: -0.0228 to +0.0107 |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท TakeImmediate buy ยท ask | 3568 below cutoff | 103 / 103 | 3529 games | 60.60ยข59.55ยข price +1.05ยข fee |
0.5799 | 0.5912 | -0.011395%: -0.0291 to +0.0100 |
| Intermission ยท team style + minor PP ยท MakeLimit buy ยท bid | 103 | 103 / 103 | 10379 games | 54.75ยข54.75ยข price +0.00ยข fee |
0.5946 | 0.6013 | -0.006895%: -0.0250 to +0.0120 |
| Intermission ยท team style + minor PP ยท TakeImmediate buy ยท ask | 4162 below cutoff | 103 / 103 | 4136 games | 58.40ยข57.34ยข price +1.06ยข fee |
0.5916 | 0.5983 | -0.006795%: -0.0259 to +0.0142 |
1u of total spend per qualifying bet, including fees. Settled bets only; all orders assumed fully filled. No compounding.
| Strategy | WโL | Staked (u) | P&L (u) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท Make | 57โ37 | 94u | +10.18u | +10.8% |
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท Take | 19โ15 | 34u | +1.42u | +4.2% |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท Make | 61โ42 | 103u | +3.07u | +3.0% |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท Take | 23โ12 | 35u | +2.60u | +7.4% |
| Intermission ยท team style + minor PP ยท Make | 62โ41 | 103u | +10.28u | +10.0% |
| Intermission ยท team style + minor PP ยท Take | 24โ17 | 41u | -1.46u | -3.6% |
Paired ยท same intermissions ยท 2026-10-02 โ 2026-10-07
paired-v1-c03f193b0137
| Strategy | Bets | Quotes / candidates | Settled | Avg cost incl. fees | Model log loss | Cost log loss | ฮ loss model โ cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท MakeLimit buy ยท bid | 46 | 46 / 46 | 4634 games | 51.67ยข51.67ยข price +0.00ยข fee |
0.6015 | 0.6174 | -0.015995%: -0.0397 to +0.0089 |
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท TakeImmediate buy ยท ask | 1828 below cutoff | 46 / 46 | 1814 games | 59.88ยข58.89ยข price +1.00ยข fee |
0.4958 | 0.5233 | -0.027595%: -0.0567 to +0.0028 |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท MakeLimit buy ยท bid | 45 | 45 / 45 | 4531 games | 54.92ยข54.92ยข price +0.00ยข fee |
0.5941 | 0.6092 | -0.015195%: -0.0395 to +0.0099 |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท TakeImmediate buy ยท ask | 2025 below cutoff | 45 / 45 | 2016 games | 59.91ยข58.89ยข price +1.02ยข fee |
0.5812 | 0.5894 | -0.008295%: -0.0319 to +0.0206 |
1u of total spend per qualifying bet, including fees. Settled bets only; all orders assumed fully filled. No compounding.
| Strategy | WโL | Staked (u) | P&L (u) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท Make | 27โ19 | 46u | +8.76u | +19.1% |
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท Take | 14โ4 | 18u | +6.32u | +35.1% |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท Make | 30โ15 | 45u | +13.66u | +30.4% |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท Take | 14โ6 | 20u | +4.47u | +22.3% |
Historical ยท active version only ยท 2026-09-29 โ 2026-10-01
Historical version unknown
| Strategy | Bets | Quotes / candidates | Settled | Avg cost incl. fees | Model log loss | Cost log loss | ฮ loss model โ cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท MakeLimit buy ยท bid | 9 | 9 / 9 | 96 games | 49.56ยข49.56ยข price +0.00ยข fee |
0.5440 | 0.5869 | -0.0429 |
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท TakeImmediate buy ยท ask | 36 below cutoff | 9 / 9 | 33 games | 58.12ยข57.00ยข price +1.12ยข fee |
0.5453 | 0.5706 | -0.0253 |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท MakeLimit buy ยท bid | 6 | 6 / 6 | 65 games | 44.67ยข44.67ยข price +0.00ยข fee |
0.4561 | 0.4581 | -0.0021 |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท TakeImmediate buy ยท ask | 15 below cutoff | 6 / 6 | 11 game | 59.22ยข58.00ยข price +1.22ยข fee |
0.4225 | 0.5239 | -0.1014 |
1u of total spend per qualifying bet, including fees. Settled bets only; all orders assumed fully filled. No compounding.
| Strategy | WโL | Staked (u) | P&L (u) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท Make | 8โ1 | 9u | +6.46u | +71.8% |
| Intermission ยท raw pressure ยท Take | 3โ0 | 3u | +2.45u | +81.5% |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท Make | 2โ4 | 6u | -2.96u | -49.4% |
| Intermission ยท team style ยท Take | 1โ0 | 1u | +0.69u | +68.9% |
Cost = bid for make; ask + per-share market fee for take. Maker fees are zero; no rebates assumed. Unknown fees or cutoffs stay unscored. Average costs include qualifying pending bets; losses require final outcomes. Cost loss scores the fee-inclusive break-even price, not market calibration or returns. Maker fills remain unverified; slippage is excluded. Totals cover all recorded dates. The original model versions and logging breakdown are available above.
Historical fee settings recovered after the games are used where available; they were not captured at the original decision time.
| Forecast bin | N | Forecast | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0%โ20% | 56 | 9% | 5% |
| 20%โ40% | 56 | 32% | 39% |
| 40%โ60% | 72 | 50% | 64% |
| 60%โ80% | 83 | 71% | 77% |
| 80%โ100% | 73 | 91% | 92% |
Intermission: 351 of 400 completed NHL P1/P2 windows have a snapshot; 49 missing. Coverage includes every recorded cohort in the selected family.
2026-09-29 ยท CHI @ VGK P2
2026-09-30 ยท PIT @ PHI P2
2026-09-30 ยท LAK @ COL P2
2026-10-01 ยท CHI @ UTA P2
2026-10-03 ยท CGY @ VAN P2
2026-10-06 ยท OTT @ DET P2
2026-10-06 ยท FLA @ LAK P2
2026-10-13 ยท STL @ OTT P2
2026-10-13 ยท VAN @ NYI P2
2026-10-13 ยท PIT @ CHI P2
2026-10-13 ยท MIN @ WPG P2
2026-10-13 ยท COL @ DAL P1
2026-10-13 ยท COL @ DAL P2
2026-10-13 ยท VGK @ NSH P1
2026-10-13 ยท VGK @ NSH P2
2026-10-13 ยท TOR @ UTA P1
2026-10-13 ยท TOR @ UTA P2
2026-10-13 ยท CGY @ ANA P1
2026-10-13 ยท CGY @ ANA P2
2026-10-13 ยท EDM @ LAK P1
2026-10-13 ยท EDM @ LAK P2
2026-10-13 ยท BOS @ SJS P1
2026-10-13 ยท BOS @ SJS P2
2026-10-27 ยท CBJ @ PHI P1
2026-10-27 ยท CBJ @ PHI P2
2026-10-27 ยท BOS @ CAR P1
2026-10-27 ยท BOS @ CAR P2
2026-10-27 ยท LAK @ CHI P1
2026-10-27 ยท LAK @ CHI P2
2026-10-27 ยท MTL @ STL P1
2026-10-27 ยท MTL @ STL P2
2026-10-27 ยท NYI @ NSH P1
2026-10-27 ยท NYI @ NSH P2
2026-10-27 ยท NJD @ DAL P1
2026-10-27 ยท NJD @ DAL P2
2026-10-27 ยท FLA @ WPG P1
2026-10-27 ยท FLA @ WPG P2
2026-10-27 ยท MIN @ UTA P1
2026-10-27 ยท MIN @ UTA P2
2026-10-27 ยท OTT @ VGK P1
2026-10-27 ยท OTT @ VGK P2
2026-10-27 ยท VAN @ ANA P1
2026-10-27 ยท VAN @ ANA P2
2026-10-27 ยท BUF @ SJS P1
2026-10-27 ยท BUF @ SJS P2
2026-10-28 ยท PHI @ WSH P1
2026-10-28 ยท PHI @ WSH P2
2026-10-28 ยท CGY @ EDM P1
2026-10-28 ยท CGY @ EDM P2
ELO: 382 of 400 completed NHL P1/P2 windows have a snapshot; 18 missing. Coverage includes every recorded cohort in the selected family.
2026-09-29 ยท CHI @ VGK P2
2026-10-06 ยท OTT @ DET P2
2026-10-06 ยท FLA @ LAK P2
2026-10-13 ยท VAN @ NYI P2
2026-10-13 ยท PIT @ CHI P2
2026-10-13 ยท MIN @ WPG P2
2026-10-13 ยท COL @ DAL P1
2026-10-13 ยท COL @ DAL P2
2026-10-13 ยท VGK @ NSH P1
2026-10-13 ยท VGK @ NSH P2
2026-10-13 ยท TOR @ UTA P1
2026-10-13 ยท TOR @ UTA P2
2026-10-13 ยท CGY @ ANA P1
2026-10-13 ยท CGY @ ANA P2
2026-10-13 ยท EDM @ LAK P1
2026-10-13 ยท EDM @ LAK P2
2026-10-13 ยท BOS @ SJS P1
2026-10-13 ยท BOS @ SJS P2
Missing windows include games with unavailable market/model data; they are never silently scored as 50%.
Flat-bet P&L above assumes full fills at the recorded entry prices. Actual returns require recorded fills; the existing paper-trade report can reconcile recorded books with Polymarket trades.
invalid paired snapshots: 29
duplicate predictions: 139
| Decision ยท Eastern | Game / period | Model | Home forecast | Market | ฮ loss | Order intent | Maker ยท bid | Taker ยท ask | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:45 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | TOR @ SEA P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 49.4% | 46.5% | โ | ELO forecast | โ | โ | Pending |
| Oct 28, 10:45 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | TOR @ SEA P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 50.8% | 46.5% | โ | ELO forecast | โ | โ | Pending |
| Oct 28, 10:45 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | TOR @ SEA P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 46.1% | 46.5% | โ | ELO forecast | โ | โ | Pending |
| Oct 28, 10:42 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | NJD @ COL P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 51.9% | 48.5% | โ | ELO forecast | โ | โ | Pending |
| Oct 28, 10:42 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | NJD @ COL P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 63.5% | 48.5% | โ | ELO forecast | โ | โ | Pending |
| Oct 28, 10:42 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | NJD @ COL P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 61.9% | 48.5% | โ | ELO forecast | โ | โ | Pending |
| Oct 28, 10:15 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | CGY @ EDM P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 93.4% | 92.5% | -0.0095 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | CGY 0 โ 4 EDM |
| Oct 28, 10:15 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | CGY @ EDM P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 86.1% | 92.5% | +0.0712 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | CGY 0 โ 4 EDM |
| Oct 28, 10:15 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | CGY @ EDM P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 90.8% | 92.5% | +0.0184 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | CGY 0 โ 4 EDM |
| Oct 28, 9:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | NJD @ COL P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 39.6% | 40.5% | โ | ELO forecast | โ | โ | Pending |
| Oct 28, 9:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | NJD @ COL P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 49.5% | 40.5% | โ | ELO forecast | โ | โ | Pending |
| Oct 28, 9:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | NJD @ COL P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 45.1% | 40.5% | โ | ELO forecast | โ | โ | Pending |
| Oct 28, 9:21 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | CGY @ EDM P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 73.7% | 75.5% | +0.0247 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | CGY 0 โ 4 EDM |
| Oct 28, 9:21 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | CGY @ EDM P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 71.4% | 75.5% | +0.0561 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | CGY 0 โ 4 EDM |
| Oct 28, 9:21 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | CGY @ EDM P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 74.9% | 75.5% | +0.0085 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | CGY 0 โ 4 EDM |
| Oct 28, 9:13 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | PHI @ WSH P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 92.8% | 94.5% | +0.0184 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | PHI 2 โ 5 WSH |
| Oct 28, 9:13 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | PHI @ WSH P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 91.6% | 94.5% | +0.0306 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | PHI 2 โ 5 WSH |
| Oct 28, 9:13 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | PHI @ WSH P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 92.7% | 94.5% | +0.0192 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | PHI 2 โ 5 WSH |
| Oct 28, 8:14 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | PHI @ WSH P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 76.8% | 81.5% | +0.0587 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | PHI 2 โ 5 WSH |
| Oct 28, 8:14 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | PHI @ WSH P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 75.8% | 81.5% | +0.0724 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | PHI 2 โ 5 WSH |
| Oct 28, 8:14 PM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | PHI @ WSH P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 80.7% | 81.5% | +0.0094 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | PHI 2 โ 5 WSH |
| Oct 28, 12:28 AM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | BUF @ SJS P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 25.1% | 25.5% | โ | ELO forecast | โ | โ | Result unavailable |
| Oct 28, 12:28 AM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | BUF @ SJS P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 32.7% | 25.5% | โ | ELO forecast | โ | โ | Result unavailable |
| Oct 28, 12:28 AM ETGame date 2026-10-28 | BUF @ SJS P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 27.5% | 25.5% | โ | ELO forecast | โ | โ | Result unavailable |
| Oct 27, 11:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | OTT @ VGK P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 79.0% | 78.5% | -0.0057 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | OTT 1 โ 4 VGK |
| Oct 27, 11:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | OTT @ VGK P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 69.9% | 78.5% | +0.1166 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | OTT 1 โ 4 VGK |
| Oct 27, 11:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | OTT @ VGK P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 73.2% | 78.5% | +0.0696 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | OTT 1 โ 4 VGK |
| Oct 27, 11:39 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | VAN @ ANA P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 97.7% | 98.2% | -0.2948 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | VAN 6 โ 5 ANA |
| Oct 27, 11:39 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | VAN @ ANA P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 91.5% | 98.2% | -1.5781 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | VAN 6 โ 5 ANA |
| Oct 27, 11:39 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | VAN @ ANA P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 95.4% | 98.2% | -0.9643 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | VAN 6 โ 5 ANA |
| Oct 27, 11:27 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | BUF @ SJS P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 49.4% | 42.5% | +0.1268 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | BUF 2 โ 0 SJS |
| Oct 27, 11:27 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | BUF @ SJS P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 58.5% | 42.5% | +0.3266 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | BUF 2 โ 0 SJS |
| Oct 27, 11:27 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | BUF @ SJS P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 50.4% | 42.5% | +0.1480 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | BUF 2 โ 0 SJS |
| Oct 27, 10:56 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | MIN @ UTA P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 25.1% | 24.5% | +0.0082 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 3 โ 1 UTA |
| Oct 27, 10:56 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | MIN @ UTA P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 26.2% | 24.5% | +0.0232 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 3 โ 1 UTA |
| Oct 27, 10:56 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | MIN @ UTA P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 28.9% | 24.5% | +0.0598 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 3 โ 1 UTA |
| Oct 27, 10:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | VAN @ ANA P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 73.7% | 77.5% | -0.1576 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | VAN 6 โ 5 ANA |
| Oct 27, 10:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | VAN @ ANA P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 67.7% | 77.5% | -0.3628 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | VAN 6 โ 5 ANA |
| Oct 27, 10:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | VAN @ ANA P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 74.5% | 77.5% | -0.1256 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | VAN 6 โ 5 ANA |
| Oct 27, 10:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | OTT @ VGK P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 49.4% | 56.5% | +0.1353 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | OTT 1 โ 4 VGK |
| Oct 27, 10:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | OTT @ VGK P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 44.5% | 56.5% | +0.2376 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | OTT 1 โ 4 VGK |
| Oct 27, 10:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | OTT @ VGK P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 48.7% | 56.5% | +0.1477 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | OTT 1 โ 4 VGK |
| Oct 27, 9:51 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | MIN @ UTA P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 49.4% | 51.5% | -0.0434 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 3 โ 1 UTA |
| Oct 27, 9:51 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | MIN @ UTA P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 47.1% | 51.5% | -0.0874 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 3 โ 1 UTA |
| Oct 27, 9:51 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | MIN @ UTA P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 49.9% | 51.5% | -0.0323 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 3 โ 1 UTA |
| Oct 27, 9:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | FLA @ WPG P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 2.6% | 2.2% | +0.0039 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | FLA 5 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 27, 9:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | FLA @ WPG P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 8.0% | 2.2% | +0.0616 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | FLA 5 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 27, 9:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | FLA @ WPG P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 4.4% | 2.2% | +0.0229 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | FLA 5 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 27, 9:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | LAK @ CHI P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 51.9% | 43.5% | -0.1773 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | LAK 1 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 27, 9:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | LAK @ CHI P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 56.7% | 43.5% | -0.2648 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | LAK 1 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 27, 9:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | LAK @ CHI P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 52.1% | 43.5% | -0.1806 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | LAK 1 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 27, 9:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | BOS @ CAR P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 47.1% | 64.5% | +0.3152 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | BOS 1 โ 2 CAR |
| Oct 27, 9:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | BOS @ CAR P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 57.2% | 64.5% | +0.1199 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | BOS 1 โ 2 CAR |
| Oct 27, 9:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | BOS @ CAR P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 59.7% | 64.5% | +0.0777 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | BOS 1 โ 2 CAR |
| Oct 27, 9:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | NYI @ NSH P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 25.1% | 26.5% | -0.0186 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NYI 4 โ 3 NSH |
| Oct 27, 9:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | NYI @ NSH P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 20.8% | 26.5% | -0.0744 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NYI 4 โ 3 NSH |
| Oct 27, 9:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | NYI @ NSH P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 25.7% | 26.5% | -0.0111 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NYI 4 โ 3 NSH |
| Oct 27, 9:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | NJD @ DAL P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 2.6% | 2.6% | -0.0007 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NJD 5 โ 1 DAL |
| Oct 27, 9:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | NJD @ DAL P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 5.4% | 2.6% | +0.0288 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NJD 5 โ 1 DAL |
| Oct 27, 9:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | NJD @ DAL P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 2.4% | 2.6% | -0.0031 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NJD 5 โ 1 DAL |
| Oct 27, 9:40 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | MTL @ STL P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 25.1% | 25.5% | -0.0051 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MTL 2 โ 0 STL |
| Oct 27, 9:40 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | MTL @ STL P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 38.1% | 25.5% | +0.1854 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MTL 2 โ 0 STL |
| Oct 27, 9:40 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | MTL @ STL P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 34.0% | 25.5% | +0.1205 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MTL 2 โ 0 STL |
| Oct 27, 8:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | BOS @ CAR P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 49.4% | 63.5% | +0.2521 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | BOS 1 โ 2 CAR |
| Oct 27, 8:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | BOS @ CAR P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 52.9% | 63.5% | +0.1826 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | BOS 1 โ 2 CAR |
| Oct 27, 8:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | BOS @ CAR P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 57.6% | 63.5% | +0.0966 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | BOS 1 โ 2 CAR |
| Oct 27, 8:48 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | LAK @ CHI P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 39.6% | 34.5% | -0.1371 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | LAK 1 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 27, 8:48 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | LAK @ CHI P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 41.7% | 34.5% | -0.1895 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | LAK 1 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 27, 8:48 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | LAK @ CHI P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 34.9% | 34.5% | -0.0110 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | LAK 1 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 27, 8:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | FLA @ WPG P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 7.4% | 7.5% | -0.0009 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | FLA 5 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 27, 8:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | FLA @ WPG P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 17.5% | 7.5% | +0.1140 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | FLA 5 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 27, 8:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | FLA @ WPG P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 12.2% | 7.5% | +0.0523 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | FLA 5 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 27, 8:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | NYI @ NSH P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 18.0% | 19.5% | -0.0183 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NYI 4 โ 3 NSH |
| Oct 27, 8:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | NYI @ NSH P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 22.2% | 19.5% | +0.0342 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NYI 4 โ 3 NSH |
| Oct 27, 8:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | NYI @ NSH P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 22.6% | 19.5% | +0.0388 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NYI 4 โ 3 NSH |
| Oct 27, 8:44 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | MTL @ STL P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 49.4% | 47.5% | +0.0359 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MTL 2 โ 0 STL |
| Oct 27, 8:44 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | MTL @ STL P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 52.9% | 47.5% | +0.1083 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MTL 2 โ 0 STL |
| Oct 27, 8:44 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | MTL @ STL P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 52.4% | 47.5% | +0.0988 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MTL 2 โ 0 STL |
| Oct 27, 8:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | NJD @ DAL P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 32.0% | 35.5% | -0.0524 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NJD 5 โ 1 DAL |
| Oct 27, 8:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | NJD @ DAL P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 31.1% | 35.5% | -0.0663 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NJD 5 โ 1 DAL |
| Oct 27, 8:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | NJD @ DAL P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 28.9% | 35.5% | -0.0970 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NJD 5 โ 1 DAL |
| Oct 27, 8:38 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | CBJ @ PHI P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 9.9% | 8.5% | +0.0155 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | CBJ 4 โ 3 PHI |
| Oct 27, 8:38 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | CBJ @ PHI P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 11.5% | 8.5% | +0.0336 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | CBJ 4 โ 3 PHI |
| Oct 27, 8:38 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | CBJ @ PHI P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 9.5% | 8.5% | +0.0107 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | CBJ 4 โ 3 PHI |
| Oct 27, 7:44 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | CBJ @ PHI P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 7.4% | 7.5% | -0.0009 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | CBJ 4 โ 3 PHI |
| Oct 27, 7:44 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | CBJ @ PHI P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 12.0% | 7.5% | +0.0498 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | CBJ 4 โ 3 PHI |
| Oct 27, 7:44 PM ETGame date 2026-10-27 | CBJ @ PHI P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 11.5% | 7.5% | +0.0442 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | CBJ 4 โ 3 PHI |
| Oct 26, 11:16 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | DET @ EDM P2 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 50.9% | 55.5% | -0.0986 | No order | โ | โ | DET 4 โ 3 EDM |
| Oct 26, 11:16 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | DET @ EDM P2 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 50.9% | 55.5% | -0.0986 | No order | โ | โ | DET 4 โ 3 EDM |
| Oct 26, 11:16 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | DET @ EDM P2 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 51.2% | 55.5% | -0.0918 | No order | โ | โ | DET 4 โ 3 EDM |
| Oct 26, 11:13 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | DET @ EDM P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 47.1% | 56.5% | -0.1964 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | DET 4 โ 3 EDM |
| Oct 26, 11:13 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | DET @ EDM P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 47.4% | 56.5% | -0.1896 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | DET 4 โ 3 EDM |
| Oct 26, 11:13 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | DET @ EDM P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 48.6% | 56.5% | -0.1663 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | DET 4 โ 3 EDM |
| Oct 26, 10:22 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | TOR @ CGY P2 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 90.3% | 87.5% | -0.0318 | Buy CGY @ 0.87Fill not verified | 87.00ยข | 88.00ยข | TOR 2 โ 5 CGY |
| Oct 26, 10:22 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | TOR @ CGY P2 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 90.3% | 87.5% | -0.0318 | Buy CGY @ 0.87Fill not verified | 87.00ยข | 88.00ยข | TOR 2 โ 5 CGY |
| Oct 26, 10:22 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | TOR @ CGY P2 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 90.1% | 87.5% | -0.0297 | Buy CGY @ 0.87Fill not verified | 87.00ยข | 88.00ยข | TOR 2 โ 5 CGY |
| Oct 26, 10:19 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | TOR @ CGY P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 93.4% | 87.5% | -0.0650 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | TOR 2 โ 5 CGY |
| Oct 26, 10:19 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | TOR @ CGY P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 92.6% | 87.5% | -0.0565 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | TOR 2 โ 5 CGY |
| Oct 26, 10:19 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | TOR @ CGY P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 91.3% | 87.5% | -0.0430 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | TOR 2 โ 5 CGY |
| Oct 26, 10:17 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | DET @ EDM P1 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 76.0% | 75.5% | +0.0219 | No order | โ | โ | DET 4 โ 3 EDM |
| Oct 26, 10:17 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | DET @ EDM P1 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 76.0% | 75.5% | +0.0219 | No order | โ | โ | DET 4 โ 3 EDM |
| Oct 26, 10:17 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | DET @ EDM P1 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 75.7% | 75.5% | +0.0098 | No order | โ | โ | DET 4 โ 3 EDM |
| Oct 26, 10:14 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | DET @ EDM P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 73.7% | 74.5% | -0.0324 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | DET 4 โ 3 EDM |
| Oct 26, 10:14 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | DET @ EDM P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 69.0% | 74.5% | -0.1969 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | DET 4 โ 3 EDM |
| Oct 26, 10:14 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | DET @ EDM P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 70.5% | 74.5% | -0.1444 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | DET 4 โ 3 EDM |
| Oct 26, 9:27 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | TOR @ CGY P1 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 77.6% | 77.5% | -0.0013 | No order | โ | โ | TOR 2 โ 5 CGY |
| Oct 26, 9:27 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | TOR @ CGY P1 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 79.8% | 77.5% | -0.0294 | Buy CGY @ 0.77Fill not verified | 77.00ยข | 78.00ยข | TOR 2 โ 5 CGY |
| Oct 26, 9:27 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | TOR @ CGY P1 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 79.7% | 77.5% | -0.0275 | Buy CGY @ 0.77Fill not verified | 77.00ยข | 78.00ยข | TOR 2 โ 5 CGY |
| Oct 26, 9:24 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | TOR @ CGY P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 87.1% | 78.5% | -0.1036 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | TOR 2 โ 5 CGY |
| Oct 26, 9:24 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | TOR @ CGY P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 81.6% | 78.5% | -0.0387 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | TOR 2 โ 5 CGY |
| Oct 26, 9:24 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | TOR @ CGY P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 80.0% | 78.5% | -0.0191 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | TOR 2 โ 5 CGY |
| Oct 26, 8:52 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | LAK @ NYR P2 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 2.8% | 2.8% | +0.0002 | No order | โ | โ | LAK 6 โ 3 NYR |
| Oct 26, 8:52 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | LAK @ NYR P2 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 2.6% | 2.8% | -0.0016 | No order | โ | โ | LAK 6 โ 3 NYR |
| Oct 26, 8:52 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | LAK @ NYR P2 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 2.6% | 2.8% | -0.0012 | No order | โ | โ | LAK 6 โ 3 NYR |
| Oct 26, 8:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | LAK @ NYR P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 2.6% | 2.8% | -0.0017 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | LAK 6 โ 3 NYR |
| Oct 26, 8:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | LAK @ NYR P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 6.2% | 2.8% | +0.0364 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | LAK 6 โ 3 NYR |
| Oct 26, 8:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | LAK @ NYR P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 2.7% | 2.8% | -0.0002 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | LAK 6 โ 3 NYR |
| Oct 26, 7:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | LAK @ NYR P1 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 18.9% | 20.5% | -0.0204 | Buy LAK @ 0.79Fill not verified | 79.00ยข | 80.00ยข | LAK 6 โ 3 NYR |
| Oct 26, 7:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | LAK @ NYR P1 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 18.9% | 20.5% | -0.0204 | Buy LAK @ 0.79Fill not verified | 79.00ยข | 80.00ยข | LAK 6 โ 3 NYR |
| Oct 26, 7:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | LAK @ NYR P1 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 19.1% | 20.5% | -0.0181 | Buy LAK @ 0.79Fill not verified | 79.00ยข | 80.00ยข | LAK 6 โ 3 NYR |
| Oct 26, 7:44 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | LAK @ NYR P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 18.0% | 20.5% | -0.0308 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | LAK 6 โ 3 NYR |
| Oct 26, 7:44 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | LAK @ NYR P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 8.3% | 20.5% | -0.1429 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | LAK 6 โ 3 NYR |
| Oct 26, 7:44 PM ETGame date 2026-10-26 | LAK @ NYR P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 10.1% | 20.5% | -0.1227 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | LAK 6 โ 3 NYR |
| Oct 25, 11:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MIN @ VAN P2 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 1.6% | 1.5% | +0.0012 | No order | โ | โ | MIN 4 โ 2 VAN |
| Oct 25, 11:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MIN @ VAN P2 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 1.5% | 1.5% | +0.0001 | No order | โ | โ | MIN 4 โ 2 VAN |
| Oct 25, 11:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MIN @ VAN P2 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 1.5% | 1.5% | -0.0002 | No order | โ | โ | MIN 4 โ 2 VAN |
| Oct 25, 11:40 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MIN @ VAN P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 2.9% | 0.5% | +0.0240 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 4 โ 2 VAN |
| Oct 25, 11:40 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MIN @ VAN P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 8.9% | 0.5% | +0.0878 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 4 โ 2 VAN |
| Oct 25, 11:40 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MIN @ VAN P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 5.4% | 0.5% | +0.0500 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 4 โ 2 VAN |
| Oct 25, 10:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MIN @ VAN P1 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 23.8% | 21.5% | +0.0293 | Buy VAN @ 0.21Fill not verified | 21.00ยข | 22.00ยข | MIN 4 โ 2 VAN |
| Oct 25, 10:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MIN @ VAN P1 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 23.8% | 21.5% | +0.0293 | Buy VAN @ 0.21Fill not verified | 21.00ยข | 22.00ยข | MIN 4 โ 2 VAN |
| Oct 25, 10:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MIN @ VAN P1 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 23.1% | 21.5% | +0.0210 | Buy VAN @ 0.21Fill not verified | 21.00ยข | 22.00ยข | MIN 4 โ 2 VAN |
| Oct 25, 10:45 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MIN @ VAN P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 39.6% | 21.5% | +0.2616 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 4 โ 2 VAN |
| Oct 25, 10:45 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MIN @ VAN P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 49.1% | 21.5% | +0.4338 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 4 โ 2 VAN |
| Oct 25, 10:45 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MIN @ VAN P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 40.3% | 21.5% | +0.2733 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 4 โ 2 VAN |
| Oct 25, 9:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | COL @ NSH P2 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 98.7% | 98.5% | -0.0029 | No order | โ | โ | COL 2 โ 6 NSH |
| Oct 25, 9:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | COL @ NSH P2 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 98.8% | 98.5% | -0.0035 | No order | โ | โ | COL 2 โ 6 NSH |
| Oct 25, 9:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | COL @ NSH P2 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 98.6% | 98.5% | -0.0014 | No order | โ | โ | COL 2 โ 6 NSH |
| Oct 25, 9:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | COL @ NSH P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 100.0% | 98.4% | -0.0161 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | COL 2 โ 6 NSH |
| Oct 25, 9:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | COL @ NSH P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 96.9% | 98.4% | +0.0149 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | COL 2 โ 6 NSH |
| Oct 25, 9:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | COL @ NSH P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 98.4% | 98.4% | +0.0003 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | COL 2 โ 6 NSH |
| Oct 25, 9:04 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MTL @ WPG P2 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 9.2% | 9.5% | -0.0028 | No order | โ | โ | MTL 2 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 25, 9:04 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MTL @ WPG P2 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 9.2% | 9.5% | -0.0028 | No order | โ | โ | MTL 2 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 25, 9:04 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MTL @ WPG P2 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 9.4% | 9.5% | -0.0010 | No order | โ | โ | MTL 2 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 25, 9:00 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MTL @ WPG P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 9.9% | 10.0% | -0.0010 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MTL 2 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 25, 9:00 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MTL @ WPG P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 27.3% | 10.0% | +0.2133 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MTL 2 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 25, 9:00 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MTL @ WPG P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 18.0% | 10.0% | +0.0931 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MTL 2 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 25, 8:48 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | COL @ NSH P1 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 69.4% | 67.5% | -0.0279 | Buy NSH @ 0.67Fill not verified | 67.00ยข | 68.00ยข | COL 2 โ 6 NSH |
| Oct 25, 8:48 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | COL @ NSH P1 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 69.4% | 67.5% | -0.0279 | Buy NSH @ 0.67Fill not verified | 67.00ยข | 68.00ยข | COL 2 โ 6 NSH |
| Oct 25, 8:48 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | COL @ NSH P1 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 67.5% | 67.5% | -0.0004 | No order | โ | โ | COL 2 โ 6 NSH |
| Oct 25, 8:45 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | COL @ NSH P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 81.0% | 67.5% | -0.1827 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | COL 2 โ 6 NSH |
| Oct 25, 8:45 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | COL @ NSH P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 82.6% | 67.5% | -0.2021 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | COL 2 โ 6 NSH |
| Oct 25, 8:45 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | COL @ NSH P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 81.8% | 67.5% | -0.1923 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | COL 2 โ 6 NSH |
| Oct 25, 8:01 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MTL @ WPG P1 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 43.7% | 45.5% | -0.0321 | Buy MTL @ 0.54Fill not verified | 54.00ยข | 55.00ยข | MTL 2 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 25, 8:01 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MTL @ WPG P1 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 43.7% | 45.5% | -0.0321 | Buy MTL @ 0.54Fill not verified | 54.00ยข | 55.00ยข | MTL 2 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 25, 8:01 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MTL @ WPG P1 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 43.8% | 45.5% | -0.0304 | Buy MTL @ 0.54Fill not verified | 54.00ยข | 55.00ยข | MTL 2 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 25, 7:58 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MTL @ WPG P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 49.4% | 45.5% | +0.0733 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MTL 2 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 25, 7:58 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MTL @ WPG P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 58.3% | 45.5% | +0.2675 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MTL 2 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 25, 7:58 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | MTL @ WPG P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 54.4% | 45.5% | +0.1792 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MTL 2 โ 1 WPG |
| Oct 25, 7:45 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | NYI @ DAL P2 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 61.7% | 57.5% | -0.0708 | Buy DAL @ 0.57Fill not verified | 57.00ยข | 58.00ยข | NYI 3 โ 6 DAL |
| Oct 25, 7:45 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | NYI @ DAL P2 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 60.8% | 57.5% | -0.0558 | Buy DAL @ 0.57Fill not verified | 57.00ยข | 58.00ยข | NYI 3 โ 6 DAL |
| Oct 25, 7:45 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | NYI @ DAL P2 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 59.8% | 57.5% | -0.0387 | Buy DAL @ 0.57Fill not verified | 57.00ยข | 58.00ยข | NYI 3 โ 6 DAL |
| Oct 25, 7:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | NYI @ DAL P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 47.1% | 57.5% | +0.2004 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NYI 3 โ 6 DAL |
| Oct 25, 7:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | NYI @ DAL P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 50.9% | 57.5% | +0.1225 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NYI 3 โ 6 DAL |
| Oct 25, 7:41 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | NYI @ DAL P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 49.7% | 57.5% | +0.1454 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NYI 3 โ 6 DAL |
| Oct 25, 6:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | NYI @ DAL P1 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 77.4% | 77.5% | +0.0012 | No order | โ | โ | NYI 3 โ 6 DAL |
| Oct 25, 6:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | NYI @ DAL P1 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 77.4% | 77.5% | +0.0012 | No order | โ | โ | NYI 3 โ 6 DAL |
| Oct 25, 6:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | NYI @ DAL P1 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 77.1% | 77.5% | +0.0049 | No order | โ | โ | NYI 3 โ 6 DAL |
| Oct 25, 6:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | NYI @ DAL P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 73.7% | 77.5% | +0.0508 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NYI 3 โ 6 DAL |
| Oct 25, 6:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | NYI @ DAL P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 73.1% | 77.5% | +0.0583 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NYI 3 โ 6 DAL |
| Oct 25, 6:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | NYI @ DAL P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 75.8% | 77.5% | +0.0219 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NYI 3 โ 6 DAL |
| Oct 25, 4:57 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | FLA @ CHI P2 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 37.2% | 39.5% | -0.0370 | No order | โ | โ | FLA 3 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 25, 4:57 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | FLA @ CHI P2 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 36.6% | 39.5% | -0.0470 | No order | โ | โ | FLA 3 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 25, 4:57 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | FLA @ CHI P2 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 35.7% | 39.5% | -0.0604 | No order | โ | โ | FLA 3 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 25, 4:54 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | FLA @ CHI P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 47.1% | 40.5% | +0.1168 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | FLA 3 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 25, 4:54 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | FLA @ CHI P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 46.6% | 40.5% | +0.1076 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | FLA 3 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 25, 4:54 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | FLA @ CHI P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 43.0% | 40.5% | +0.0435 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | FLA 3 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 25, 3:59 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | FLA @ CHI P1 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 18.1% | 20.5% | -0.0297 | No order | โ | โ | FLA 3 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 25, 3:59 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | FLA @ CHI P1 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 18.1% | 20.5% | -0.0297 | No order | โ | โ | FLA 3 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 25, 3:59 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | FLA @ CHI P1 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 17.8% | 20.5% | -0.0329 | No order | โ | โ | FLA 3 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 25, 3:56 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | FLA @ CHI P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 32.0% | 20.5% | +0.1567 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | FLA 3 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 25, 3:56 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | FLA @ CHI P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 26.2% | 20.5% | +0.0748 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | FLA 3 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 25, 3:56 PM ETGame date 2026-10-25 | FLA @ CHI P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 26.1% | 20.5% | +0.0725 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | FLA 3 โ 2 CHI |
| Oct 24, 11:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | MIN @ SEA P2 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 0.5% | 0.7% | -0.0015 | No order | โ | โ | MIN 5 โ 1 SEA |
| Oct 24, 11:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | MIN @ SEA P2 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 0.6% | 0.7% | -0.0008 | No order | โ | โ | MIN 5 โ 1 SEA |
| Oct 24, 11:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | MIN @ SEA P2 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 0.6% | 0.7% | -0.0008 | No order | โ | โ | MIN 5 โ 1 SEA |
| Oct 24, 11:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | DET @ CGY P2 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 96.4% | 96.6% | +0.0026 | No order | โ | โ | DET 1 โ 4 CGY |
| Oct 24, 11:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | DET @ CGY P2 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 96.4% | 96.6% | +0.0026 | No order | โ | โ | DET 1 โ 4 CGY |
| Oct 24, 11:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | DET @ CGY P2 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 96.3% | 96.6% | +0.0028 | No order | โ | โ | DET 1 โ 4 CGY |
| Oct 24, 11:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | MIN @ SEA P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 2.6% | 1.9% | +0.0064 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 5 โ 1 SEA |
| Oct 24, 11:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | MIN @ SEA P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 10.4% | 1.9% | +0.0902 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 5 โ 1 SEA |
| Oct 24, 11:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | MIN @ SEA P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 5.3% | 1.9% | +0.0348 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 5 โ 1 SEA |
| Oct 24, 11:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | DET @ CGY P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 97.7% | 95.5% | -0.0223 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | DET 1 โ 4 CGY |
| Oct 24, 11:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | DET @ CGY P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 92.6% | 95.5% | +0.0313 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | DET 1 โ 4 CGY |
| Oct 24, 11:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | DET @ CGY P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 94.3% | 95.5% | +0.0123 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | DET 1 โ 4 CGY |
| Oct 24, 10:56 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TBL @ UTA P2 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 53.8% | 55.5% | +0.0302 | Buy TBL @ 0.44Fill not verified | 44.00ยข | 45.00ยข | TBL 4 โ 5 UTA |
| Oct 24, 10:56 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TBL @ UTA P2 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 53.8% | 55.5% | +0.0302 | Buy TBL @ 0.44Fill not verified | 44.00ยข | 45.00ยข | TBL 4 โ 5 UTA |
| Oct 24, 10:56 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TBL @ UTA P2 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 54.7% | 55.5% | +0.0151 | No order | โ | โ | TBL 4 โ 5 UTA |
| Oct 24, 10:53 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TBL @ UTA P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 51.9% | 55.5% | +0.0663 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | TBL 4 โ 5 UTA |
| Oct 24, 10:53 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TBL @ UTA P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 36.7% | 55.5% | +0.4131 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | TBL 4 โ 5 UTA |
| Oct 24, 10:53 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TBL @ UTA P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 38.9% | 55.5% | +0.3556 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | TBL 4 โ 5 UTA |
| Oct 24, 10:50 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | DET @ CGY P1 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 61.1% | 62.5% | +0.0225 | Buy DET @ 0.37Fill not verified | 37.00ยข | 38.00ยข | DET 1 โ 4 CGY |
| Oct 24, 10:50 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | MIN @ SEA P1 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 37.0% | 39.5% | -0.0407 | Buy MIN @ 0.60Fill not verified | 60.00ยข | 61.00ยข | MIN 5 โ 1 SEA |
| Oct 24, 10:50 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | DET @ CGY P1 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 61.1% | 62.5% | +0.0225 | Buy DET @ 0.37Fill not verified | 37.00ยข | 38.00ยข | DET 1 โ 4 CGY |
| Oct 24, 10:50 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | MIN @ SEA P1 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 40.7% | 39.5% | +0.0194 | Buy SEA @ 0.39Fill not verified | 39.00ยข | 40.00ยข | MIN 5 โ 1 SEA |
| Oct 24, 10:50 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | DET @ CGY P1 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 61.2% | 62.5% | +0.0215 | Buy DET @ 0.37Fill not verified | 37.00ยข | 38.00ยข | DET 1 โ 4 CGY |
| Oct 24, 10:50 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | MIN @ SEA P1 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 40.1% | 39.5% | +0.0098 | No order | โ | โ | MIN 5 โ 1 SEA |
| Oct 24, 10:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | MIN @ SEA P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 49.4% | 36.5% | +0.2261 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 5 โ 1 SEA |
| Oct 24, 10:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | MIN @ SEA P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 53.4% | 36.5% | +0.3103 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 5 โ 1 SEA |
| Oct 24, 10:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | MIN @ SEA P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 49.3% | 36.5% | +0.2245 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | MIN 5 โ 1 SEA |
| Oct 24, 10:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | DET @ CGY P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 73.7% | 62.5% | -0.1643 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | DET 1 โ 4 CGY |
| Oct 24, 10:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | DET @ CGY P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 68.7% | 62.5% | -0.0944 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | DET 1 โ 4 CGY |
| Oct 24, 10:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | DET @ CGY P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 67.7% | 62.5% | -0.0799 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | DET 1 โ 4 CGY |
| Oct 24, 9:57 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TBL @ UTA P1 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 38.4% | 39.5% | +0.0272 | Buy TBL @ 0.60Fill not verified | 60.00ยข | 61.00ยข | TBL 4 โ 5 UTA |
| Oct 24, 9:57 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TBL @ UTA P1 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 38.4% | 39.5% | +0.0272 | Buy TBL @ 0.60Fill not verified | 60.00ยข | 61.00ยข | TBL 4 โ 5 UTA |
| Oct 24, 9:57 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TBL @ UTA P1 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 38.7% | 39.5% | +0.0202 | No order | โ | โ | TBL 4 โ 5 UTA |
| Oct 24, 9:54 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TBL @ UTA P1 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 39.6% | 38.5% | -0.0274 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | TBL 4 โ 5 UTA |
| Oct 24, 9:54 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TBL @ UTA P1 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 27.9% | 38.5% | +0.3235 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | TBL 4 โ 5 UTA |
| Oct 24, 9:54 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TBL @ UTA P1 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 28.5% | 38.5% | +0.3011 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | TBL 4 โ 5 UTA |
| Oct 24, 8:55 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TOR @ EDM P2 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 11.8% | 13.5% | -0.0196 | Buy TOR @ 0.86Fill not verified | 86.00ยข | 87.00ยข | TOR 7 โ 2 EDM |
| Oct 24, 8:55 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TOR @ EDM P2 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 11.8% | 13.5% | -0.0196 | Buy TOR @ 0.86Fill not verified | 86.00ยข | 87.00ยข | TOR 7 โ 2 EDM |
| Oct 24, 8:55 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TOR @ EDM P2 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 13.0% | 13.5% | -0.0060 | No order | โ | โ | TOR 7 โ 2 EDM |
| Oct 24, 8:52 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TOR @ EDM P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 9.9% | 13.5% | -0.0407 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | TOR 7 โ 2 EDM |
| Oct 24, 8:52 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TOR @ EDM P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 12.4% | 13.5% | -0.0125 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | TOR 7 โ 2 EDM |
| Oct 24, 8:52 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | TOR @ EDM P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.0005 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | TOR 7 โ 2 EDM |
| Oct 24, 8:50 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | NYR @ OTT P2 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 75.2% | 74.9% | -0.0047 | No order | โ | โ | NYR 4 โ 7 OTT |
| Oct 24, 8:50 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | NYR @ OTT P2 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 75.2% | 74.9% | -0.0047 | No order | โ | โ | NYR 4 โ 7 OTT |
| Oct 24, 8:50 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | NYR @ OTT P2 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 75.3% | 74.9% | -0.0061 | No order | โ | โ | NYR 4 โ 7 OTT |
| Oct 24, 8:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | CAR @ STL P2 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 2.1% | 2.2% | -0.0008 | No order | โ | โ | CAR 4 โ 0 STL |
| Oct 24, 8:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | CAR @ STL P2 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 2.1% | 2.2% | -0.0008 | No order | โ | โ | CAR 4 โ 0 STL |
| Oct 24, 8:49 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | CAR @ STL P2 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 1.8% | 2.2% | -0.0037 | No order | โ | โ | CAR 4 โ 0 STL |
| Oct 24, 8:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | NYR @ OTT P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 79.0% | 74.9% | -0.0527 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NYR 4 โ 7 OTT |
| Oct 24, 8:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | NYR @ OTT P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 82.3% | 74.9% | -0.0937 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NYR 4 โ 7 OTT |
| Oct 24, 8:47 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | NYR @ OTT P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 83.8% | 74.9% | -0.1119 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | NYR 4 โ 7 OTT |
| Oct 24, 8:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | VGK @ CBJ P2 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 50.8% | 46.5% | -0.0884 | No order | โ | โ | VGK 1 โ 2 CBJ |
| Oct 24, 8:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | VGK @ CBJ P2 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 50.8% | 46.5% | -0.0884 | No order | โ | โ | VGK 1 โ 2 CBJ |
| Oct 24, 8:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | VGK @ CBJ P2 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 50.0% | 46.5% | -0.0726 | No order | โ | โ | VGK 1 โ 2 CBJ |
| Oct 24, 8:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | CAR @ STL P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 2.6% | 1.6% | +0.0100 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | CAR 4 โ 0 STL |
| Oct 24, 8:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | CAR @ STL P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 7.2% | 1.6% | +0.0588 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | CAR 4 โ 0 STL |
| Oct 24, 8:46 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | CAR @ STL P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 4.2% | 1.6% | +0.0269 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | CAR 4 โ 0 STL |
| Oct 24, 8:45 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | SJS @ BOS P2 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 65.3% | 58.5% | -0.1104 | Buy BOS @ 0.58Fill not verified | 58.00ยข | 59.00ยข | SJS 4 โ 6 BOS |
| Oct 24, 8:45 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | SJS @ BOS P2 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 65.3% | 58.5% | -0.1104 | Buy BOS @ 0.58Fill not verified | 58.00ยข | 59.00ยข | SJS 4 โ 6 BOS |
| Oct 24, 8:45 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | SJS @ BOS P2 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 65.1% | 58.5% | -0.1064 | Buy BOS @ 0.58Fill not verified | 58.00ยข | 59.00ยข | SJS 4 โ 6 BOS |
| Oct 24, 8:44 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | NSH @ PIT P2 | Intermission ยท team style + minor PPPaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 32.1% | 27.5% | -0.1562 | No order | โ | โ | NSH 2 โ 3 PIT |
| Oct 24, 8:44 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | NSH @ PIT P2 | Intermission ยท team stylePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 32.1% | 27.5% | -0.1562 | No order | โ | โ | NSH 2 โ 3 PIT |
| Oct 24, 8:44 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | NSH @ PIT P2 | Intermission ยท raw pressurePaired ยท same intermissionspaired-v1-63ee1cb10048 | 33.4% | 27.5% | -0.1941 | No order | โ | โ | NSH 2 โ 3 PIT |
| Oct 24, 8:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | VGK @ CBJ P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 47.1% | 46.5% | -0.0120 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | VGK 1 โ 2 CBJ |
| Oct 24, 8:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | VGK @ CBJ P2 | ELO ยท PredictiveRecorded ELOunversioned | 55.6% | 46.5% | -0.1780 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | VGK 1 โ 2 CBJ |
| Oct 24, 8:43 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | VGK @ CBJ P2 | ELO ยท FullRecorded ELOunversioned | 55.6% | 46.5% | -0.1787 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | VGK 1 โ 2 CBJ |
| Oct 24, 8:42 PM ETGame date 2026-10-24 | SJS @ BOS P2 | ELO ยท RawRecorded ELOunversioned | 47.1% | 58.5% | +0.2176 | ELO forecast | โ | โ | SJS 4 โ 6 BOS |
Predictions come from pressure_signal_log.jsonl (intermission decision, about 3 minutes into the break) and live_alerts.jsonl (ELO Raw / Predictive / Full at the initial alert). Each uses its own logged market probability. ELO and intermission snapshots may have different timestamps; these are separate matched comparisons.
We keep the earliest valid game / period snapshot in each model family, including across monitor restarts. Paired snapshots record both raw-pressure and team-style predictions together; both are retained from the same earliest valid snapshot. The original-live view includes historical active-only records without recreating missing forecasts. The walk-forward view rebuilds both intermission models using prior-season slopes and prior-date team baselines on the same breaks; it is a retrospective backtest, not a record of what ran live. Source breakdowns remain available for inspection. Legacy snapshots lack an exact model fingerprint; changes within an unversioned cohort cannot be identified retrospectively. Context-only probabilities are excluded from the primary order model.
Only official NHL FINAL or OFF scores, joined on game ID and both team identities, settle outcomes. Missing results stay unscored. Recorded next-period starts exclude late decisions when available. Otherwise timing relies on the immutable intermission log; old records have no independent final-time stamp. Dates are NHL game dates, falling back to the original timestamp in Eastern time for legacy ELO alerts.
Log loss = โlog(probability assigned to the winner), using natural logs and clipping to [0.000001, 0.999999]. Brier = mean squared error. Delta = model loss โ market loss on identical settled snapshots. Calibration averages home forecasts versus home win frequency. Intervals resample entire games with both periods together, 1,000 paired bootstrap draws; fewer than 10 games have no interval. A small sample does not establish a durable edge.
Execution prices use the recorded outcome side: home maker = home bid, home taker = home ask; away maker = 1 โ home ask, away taker = 1 โ home bid. The logged order price is authoritative for maker pricing. Missing/crossed quotes stay missing; no prices are inferred from the midpoint. Each cohort has raw make/take and style make/take rows. Logged act=true signals with both quotes are candidates; each strategy requires (model probability for the chosen side โ fee-inclusive entry cost) ร 100 โฅ the recorded threshold in percentage points. The quote and fee are per share; fees use the marketโs recorded or separately recovered schedule. Supported sports fees are rate ร price ร (1 โ price), with exponent 1 and taker-only fees; missing or unsupported settings are gaps. Makers have zero fees and no assumed rebate. Model and cost log loss score that strategyโs qualifying settled bets; cost loss uses the fee-inclusive break-even price on the purchased outcome. Delta = model loss โ cost loss. Forecasts are unchanged but different selected bets can change model loss. Average costs include qualifying pending games. These are recommendation scores, not verified fills or realized ROI.
Theoretical flat-bet P&L uses the same qualifying recommendations as the execution scores and the daily Discord report. Each bet spends one unit including fees, buying 1 / (price + fee) shares. A win earns 1 / (price + fee) โ 1 units; a loss loses one unit. ROI = total profit / settled units staked. Pending or missing outcomes contribute neither profit nor settled stake. All fills are assumed, with no compounding, liquidity limits or slippage. One unit represents any fixed dollar stake; multiply P&L units by that stake for dollar profit. Totals follow the selected dates and model/period filters, combining all recorded versions and historical/paired observations. Each loss is averaged over its underlying scored observations; ROI uses total profit divided by total settled stake.
Default logging window starts Sep 29, 2026. Counts cover recorded predictions and expose missing completed-game windows separately. This page reads existing logs; NHL results use a 2-minute server cache for active dates and 6 hours for completed dates. Derived walk-forward files remain separate from immutable live logs. No orders are placed.